Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.096543 0.111515 0.128040 0.147632 0.170231 0.195488 0.225869
2026-01-18 0.072679 0.092700 0.117054 0.148868 0.189357 0.239216 0.305359
2026-01-25 0.058525 0.080001 0.107962 0.147049 0.200340 0.270565 0.370344
2026-02-01 0.047965 0.069371 0.098824 0.142336 0.205081 0.292464 0.423767
2026-02-08 0.042215 0.064112 0.095717 0.144699 0.218849 0.327182 0.498065
2026-02-15 0.037271 0.059129 0.092058 0.145323 0.229539 0.357965 0.569542
2026-02-22 0.033574 0.055428 0.089662 0.147243 0.241969 0.392182 0.649674
2026-03-01 0.029508 0.050543 0.084702 0.144275 0.245938 0.413090 0.710341
2026-03-08 0.026234 0.046509 0.080564 0.141996 0.250495 0.435027 0.774670
2026-03-15 0.024074 0.044088 0.078792 0.143427 0.261343 0.468401 0.862094
2026-03-22 0.022998 0.043437 0.079969 0.150103 0.282056 0.520912 0.989322
2026-03-29 0.021680 0.042170 0.079863 0.154350 0.298669 0.567583 1.110715
2026-04-05 0.020321 0.040703 0.079285 0.157759 0.314318 0.614572 1.239085
2026-04-12 0.018835 0.038815 0.077706 0.159056 0.326034 0.655380 1.360260
2026-04-19 0.017161 0.036344 0.074698 0.157112 0.330962 0.683223 1.458146
2026-04-26 0.015367 0.033414 0.070435 0.152076 0.328885 0.696560 1.527082
2026-05-03 0.014486 0.032313 0.069808 0.154601 0.342988 0.744733 1.675843
2026-05-10 0.013524 0.030920 0.068406 0.155268 0.353082 0.785337 1.812405
2026-05-17 0.012765 0.029894 0.067677 0.157320 0.366423 0.834282 1.973119
2026-05-24 0.011678 0.027989 0.064797 0.154148 0.367471 0.855836 2.072758
2026-05-31 0.010750 0.026354 0.062354 0.151713 0.369942 0.880823 2.183238
2026-06-07 0.010171 0.025492 0.061610 0.153242 0.382032 0.929463 2.356575
2026-06-14 0.009983 0.025570 0.063101 0.160376 0.408590 1.015354 2.632180